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Peer-Reviewed Publication
J Liq Biopsy2026;13100481.September 1, 2026Journal Article

Associations between early changes in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and outcomes across randomized trials: Insights from the ctMoniTR project.

Hillary S Andrews1, Nevine Zariffa2, Emily M Goren3, Katherine K Nishimura3, Adam Rosenthal3, Abde Abukhdeir4, Grace Collins1, Maya Dajee5, Yu Deng6, Shibing Deng7, Joe Ensor8, Carin R Espenschied9, David Fabrizio10, Minakshi Guha11, Darren Hodgson12, Dilafruz Juraeva13, Nicole Kräemer14, German G Leparc14, Elena Levi-D'Ancona1, Minetta Liu8, Diana Merino Vega4, Bernat Navarro-Serer1, Gary A Pestano15, Nadia Solovieff5, Sriram Sridhar16, Mark D Stewart1, James P Sullivan6, Stephan Wojciekowski14, Antje Hoering3, Jeff D Allen1
1Friends of Cancer Research, 1800 M Street NW, Suite 1050S, Washington, DC, USA.
2NMD Group LLC, Bala Cynwyd, PA, USA.
3Cancer Research and Biostatistics (CRAB), Seattle, WA, USA.
4AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD, USA.
5Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ, USA.
6Genentech Inc, South San Francisco, CA, USA.
7Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY, USA.
8Natera, Inc., Austin, TX, USA.
9Guardant Health, Inc., Redwood City, CA, USA.
10Foundation Medicine, Inc., Cambridge, MA, USA.
11Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Cambridge, MA, USA.
12AstraZeneca, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
13The Healthcare Business of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany.
14Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Biberach, Germany.
15Biodesix Inc, Louisville, CO, USA.
16Genmab US, Inc., Plainsboro, NJ, USA.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) dynamics have emerged as a promising biomarker of treatment response in oncology drug development. Early decreases in ctDNA levels after treatment initiation are associated with improved long-term outcomes in patients with advanced cancer. To be considered for regulatory decision-making, patient-level meta-analyses evaluating individual-(I-) and trial-(T-)…

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