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Peer-Reviewed Publication
Aust N Z J Public Health2026;100577.September 30, 2026Journal Article

Estimating current susceptibility to measles in Australia following sustained measles elimination.

Zoë Croker1, Angus McLure2, Stephen Lambert3, Helen Quinn4, Alexis Pillsbury4, Kristine Macartney4, Peter McIntyre5, Frank Beard6
1National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, The Children's Hospital at Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia; Australian National University, National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, ACT 2600, Australia. Electronic address: zoe.croker@health.nsw.gov.au.
2Australian National University, National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, ACT 2600, Australia.
3National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, The Children's Hospital at Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia.
4National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, The Children's Hospital at Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia; The University of Sydney Faculty of Medicine and Health, NSW 2006, Australia.
5National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, The Children's Hospital at Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia; The University of Otago Department of Women's and Children's Health, School of Medicine, Dunedin, New Zealand.
6National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, The Children's Hospital at Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia; The University of Sydney School of Public Health, NSW 2006, Australia.
PubMed DOI

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: This study estimates Australia's measles susceptibility across all age groups. To our knowledge, this study is the first internationally to combine multiple consecutive serosurvey and population immunisation register data. METHODS: We estimated age-specific measles susceptibility in 2019 using data from nationally representative seroprevalence surveys for people born between 1920 and 1…

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