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Peer-Reviewed Publication
Breast2026;86104714.April 1, 2026Journal Article

Identifying premenopausal patients with early-stage hormone receptor-positive breast cancer at minimal risk of distant recurrence by breast cancer index.

Ruth M O'Regan1, Yue Ren2, Yi Zhang3, Gini F Fleming4, Prudence A Francis5, Olivia Pagani6, Barbara A Walley7, Roswitha Kammler8, Patrizia Dell'Orto9, Giuseppe Viale9, Sherene Loi10, Marco Colleoni11, Kai Treuner3, Meredith M Regan12
1Department of Medicine, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, USA.
2IBCSG Statistical Center, Division of Biostatistics, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA.
3Biotheranostics, A Hologic Company, San Diego, CA, USA.
4The University of Chicago Medical Center, Chicago, IL, USA.
5The Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Medical Oncology, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia; Department of Medical Oncology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre Melbourne, VIC, Australia; St Vincent's Hospital, Melbourne, Australia; Breast Cancer Trials Australia & New Zealand, Newcastle, Australia.
6Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland; Lugano University, Lugano, Switzerland; Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research (SAKK), Bern, Switzerland.
7University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; Canadian Cancer Trials Group (CCTG), Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.
8Translational Research Coordination, International Breast Cancer Study Group, ETOP IBCSG Partners Foundation, Bern, Switzerland.
9IBCSG Central Pathology Office, Milan, Italy; Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, IEO European Institute of Oncology IRCCS, Milan, Italy.
10The Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Medical Oncology, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia; Division of Cancer Research, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia.
11Division of Medical Senology, IEO European Institute of Oncology, IRCCS, Milan, Italy.
12IBCSG Statistical Center, Division of Biostatistics, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: mregan@jimmy.harvard.edu.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: An adjusted Breast Cancer Index (BCI) model with an additional cutpoint identified postmenopausal women with hormone-receptor-positive node-negative disease at minimal (<5%) risk of distant recurrence (DR) within 10 years. METHODS: 2025 premenopausal patients with hormone-receptor-positive node-negative breast cancer, randomized to adjuvant endocrine therapy in SOFT and TEXT (35.6% an…

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